Artificial Intelligence in 2030: 10 Predictions by Athena
China is obstinate about stealing the artificial intelligence crown from the United States. While China has already started a trade war against the latter and is planning to build a $1 trillion AI industry by 2030. That being said, back home we are figuring out 10 predictions on artificial intelligence in 2030. In 1957, when USSR launched the world’s first ever artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, the US went berserk and got into a frenzy of competition. And this histrionic tug of war finally led the humans to land on the moon.
Now 60 years later, we are most likely going to have our “Sputnik” moment, provided the artificial intelligence war continues between the US and China. The tug war this time is not to put the first step on the moon but to become the AI world leader.
The AI arms race continues…
However, it was China and not the USA, who took the first wakeup call. China created the first ever AlphaGo, an AI-enabled computer program designed for the board game, Go. This first-ever AI-led computer game was invented by a Chinese company, DeepMind based in London. In 2016, South Korean master Lee Se-dol had lost to AlphaGo at the ancient Chinese board game Go. And in 2017, this AI game had also defeated the Chinese world champion, Ke Jie.
Impressed by the newly enabled AI platform as a service and realizing its potential, the Chinese Govt. decided to invest in the then-upcoming AI technology in full bloom. After two years of its inception, China is determined to become the world leader in artificial intelligence by 2030.
Anthony Mullen, Research Director at Gartner had this to say,
“Right now, AI is a two-horse race between China and the US.” And, says Mullen, China has all the ingredients it needs to move into first. These include government funding, a massive population, a lively research community, and a society that seems primed for technological change.”
This brings us to ask the trillion-dollar question –
Who is going to win the AI race – US or China?
Who’s going to make the killing?
While China is ushering on its 1.4 billion population to build a data mine for its artificial intelligence service offerings, the US, on the other hand, has alone invested $76 billion out of the total $176 billion investment in the AI sector worldwide.
While other countries like Russia are trying to win the rat race, the above-mentioned rivals are already in a bid to cut each other’s throat by becoming the world’s biggest contemporaries in digital transformation that includes artificial intelligence, IoT, VR, big data etc. whether it’s Luke vs Darth Vader, Alien vs Predator, Rocky vs Ivan Drago.
10 predictions on artificial intelligence in 2030
Just as the world witnessed the moon landing that has resulted out of the Sputnik war, similarly we will indeed experience a revolution in this advanced technology following this tug of war. Taking this opportunity, we’ve narrowed down 10 predictions on artificial intelligence in 2030 and how it is going to disrupt industries and humans on the whole.
We have divided our list of 12 AI predictions in two parts –
What will be artificial intelligence in the next 6 years i.e. by 2024?
#Prediction 1By 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence, as per Ray Kurzweil, Google’s Director of Engineering. Click To Tweet
Enormously empowered by technology, machines, and devices will be able to recognize objects and translate speech in real time. While devices like ALEXA is able to do speech recognition, Google has already started working on their deep learning to enhance the speech recognition technology. Watch this video –
With the speed it’s evolving, we’re pretty sure we’re going to witness something as shown in the Tom Cruise-starrer 2002 movie, Minority Report in 2024.
Alexa, Google Home, Siri, and Cortana will learn to adjust to your changing life.
Artificial intelligence solutions and NLS (natural language systems) will become more pervasive. AI assistant will be able to learn to anticipate your requirements and likeness without you having to explicitly feed in information about yourself just was with the case of the 20th century’s robots. Smart context-oriented visual interfaces will be in use, thus augmenting the in-depth interactions.
Devices and machines will run individually.
Next-gen airplanes will be self-controlled. Most likely they won’t even have a cockpit.
Here’s an excerpt,
In the future, AI will play an even bigger role, from working out what information to show the pilot to take full control of the plane. Bowman thinks that humans will be managers rather than being replaced. He envisions a human controlling a swarm of 20 drones while on board a plane being flown by AI.
Plane manufacturers like Airbus are all geared up to develop artificial intelligence-enabled engines that will enable computers to fly planes without the human pilots in the near future.
Walmart Stores harnesses AI to optimize inventories and supply chains by predicting future demand and reordering stock. Monsanto uses artificial intelligence to identify the most promising molecules in bioengineering. John Deere (DE) expects AI to reduce chemical spraying volumes in farming. And shale oil producer Devon Energy (DVN) uses AI to guide drilling gear.
Almost every enterprise, from the top players to the startups, would have integrated artificial intelligence in their businesses by 2024.
Here are the statistics on revenues for AI applications in businesses worldwide from 2016 to 2025 in million USD –
AI will continue to be rigorously adopted by businesses across the globe worldwide, thereby enabling them to extract data from the entire data ocean that is being generated.
In the recently released movie, Escape Plan 2, a robot is seen treating a person in one of the scenes.
AI is going to dramatically disrupt medical diagnostic procedures. Determining the available artificial intelligence use cases in medicine, we have predicted that AI solutions will do for medicine in the next 6 years similarly what the stethoscope had done hundreds of years ago. Besides managing the mammoth-sized paperwork, AI services will offer the perfect surgical robots and finely tuned diagnostic algorithms to solve complex surgical and clinical problems.
Now let’s have a look at the bigger picture…
Artificial Intelligence in another 6 years i.e. (2024-2030)
Image source: nerdymates.com
If teaching method is not changed today, 30 years from now, the education industry is going to be in trouble, said Jack Ma, founder of Alibaba Group.
The future academics will be led by artificial intelligence and blockchain technology. AI will grow beyond what we know today just as Dr. Will Caster, the role played by Johnny Depp in the 2014 movie, Transcendence.
With an influx of advanced AI-led learning models, traditional educational methods are bound to take a quantum leap in the next decade. Due to digital transformation, one-to-one tutoring will more likely replace the traditional method on an enormous scale. Computers will take up the role of individual tutors in classrooms filled with diverse learning styles.
Digital ‘alter egos’ – the AI assistants will be doing the job of a full-time employee usually reserved for the elite class in 2045.
Enhanced personal hypothesis systems will create an entirely new artificial ecosystem. AI will disrupt the design, curation, and improvement of the already existing AI-induced algorithms.
In future, IoT won’t work without artificial intelligence.
The millennials have already grown to get used to the Internet. In future, IoT won’t work without artificial intelligence. However, advanced technologies like AI and smart connected devices are future-proof and are shaping new far-reaching developments. These cutting-edge technologies will be inducted into all the possible aspects of our lifestyle and all industries including cloud computing and big data/analytics.
AI will be used with IoT to develop and strengthen man and machine partnership. For example, AI capabilities in the wall of an operating room will enable smart devices to understand their environment, and then reason and learn. A whole new artificial intelligence ecosystem will boom in the next 12 years targeting everything from healthcare, transportation, and telecom to public safety and banking.
The future of hardware is AI.
Quantum computing extensions will be commonplace by 2030. Landmark developments in artificial intelligence distribution across multiple machines will recast the data transaction procedure. In the next 12 years, algorithms will run in parallel efficiently over thousands of Graphical Processing Units (GPUs) on each computer.
Deep learning as initiated by Google relies heavily on the jaded mathematical computations. Artificial neural networks, convolutional neural networks, and recurrent neural Networks are some of the futuristic aspects of deep learning. Irrespective of what kind of neural network is used, all the deep learning algorithms will be running complicated statistical computations. Right from managing the stock market data to storing the radiology report, everything will be first decoded into a set of numbers with the help of AI.
Artificial intelligence will be vulnerable.
AI is no more confined to making Alexa or chatbots. Superpowers like US and Russia are seriously considering weaponizing AI. US is determined to make use of the AI to the extreme to maintain its military dominance.
The United States has put AI at the center of its quest to maintain its military dominance. In 2014, the Pentagon had reportedly announced the US $18 billion for its ‘Future Years Defense Program’, which will be spent in allocating robotics, autonomous systems, and human-machine collaboration. China, on the other hand, is not left behind. As per the reports, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army has begun integrating artificial intelligence technology into unmanned weapon systems which include aircraft, drones, and submarines.
And while the tug war continues among US, China & Russia, it’s pretty obvious that the artificial intelligence will change the world at breakneck speed. And as we write, already history is in the making in various sectors across industries through AI and IoT.